Jay's Asset Allocation Blog

Blog about my off-hours work on the problem of Asset Allocation including but not limited to Portfolio Optimization algorithms, algorithms and approaches for improved estimation of Asset Allocation inputs and other potentially related items.

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Commodities in Black-Litterman

For those people trying to use the Black Litterman to model asset classes other than equities and bonds, the challenge of commodities is an interesting one. How does one figure out the market capitalization of commodities, and what is the relationship between the ownership of reserves by natural resource companies (thus included in their market capitalization), and how do futures which might exceed the size of the spot market by some multiple fit in.

Tom Idzorek wrote a paper which covers some of these topics. I've seen a few more around the internet and I'll try to start putting them up here and also on the blacklitterman.org website.

3 Comments:

Blogger Scott said...

Hey Jay - Thanks for spending countless hours on BL. As an investment manager attempting to gain any edge possible, using BL as a tool to assist in tactical allocation is appealing. However, building a model in Excel has clogged my brain and I'm quite frankly having difficulty finding a starting point and a map to get me to the end. Any suggestions outside of the academic world would be appreciated. I feel like I've read so much but am no closer to the end goal of a working model. Thanks!

October 30, 2008 4:14 PM  
Blogger Jay said...

Scott, It certainly is a challenge to figure out how to make the Black-Litterman model accessible to more people. One level is the software, so while Quant developers usually use MATLAB, Excel would be more accessible though not as rich. The second level, is good examples of using Black-Litterman. Most of the examples in the literature are a bit contrived and don't cover the entire universe of assets. It is a lot to work on, and for blacklitterman.org I am always looking for feedback about useful additions to the site.

November 5, 2008 7:52 PM  
Blogger Damir said...

Hey Jay! I have trouble with Black-Litterman model. I made all steps that described in Idzorek's paper. But anytime I receive porfolio weights, the sum of which more than 1 or less than 1, but not even near 1. What's the problem? All calculations I made in matlab

February 2, 2010 5:02 AM  

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